Moving Average kya hai ?
- Moving Average (MA) ek popular technical indicator hai jo traders aur investors stock trends, entry/exit points, aur market ki direction samajhne ke liye use karte hain. Candlestick charts par ise line ki tarah dikhaya jata hai, jo price movements ko “smooth” karti hai.
- MA line se pata chalta hai ki stock upward trend (ऊपर जा रहा) ya downward trend (नीचे जा रहा) mein hai.
- Candlesticks ke daily ups-downs ko smooth karke clear picture dikhata hai.
Virat Kohli ke Runs aur Stock Moving Average ka Connection – Samjho Seedhe Cricket Example se!
Virat ke 10 Matches ke Runs (Stock Prices ki Tarah)
Matches: 10
Runs: 20, 30, 25, 35, 50, 100, 10, 50, 35, 55
Total Runs = 20+30+25+35+50+100+10+50+35+55 = 410
Average (10 Matches) = 410 / 10 = 41
11th Match mein 60 Runs Banaaye → New Average?
- New Total Runs = Purane 410 + 60 (11th match) – 20 (1st match ko hatao, kyuki SMA “window” slide hota hai).
- Total = 410 + 60 – 20 = 450
- New Average (Matches 2-11) = 450 / 10 = 45
- Result: Average 41 → 45 (Badh gaya!)
Matlab Virat ka form improve hua!
12th Match mein 10 Runs Banaaye → Fir Average?
- New Total = 450 + 10 (12th match) – 30 (2nd match ko hatao).
- Total = 450 + 10 – 30 = 430
- New Average = 430 / 10 = 43
- Result: Average 45 → 43 (Gir gaya!)
Matlab performance thodi kamjor hui.
Kya Matlab Hua?
- Average Badhna = Virat consistently acha perform kar raha (ya stock price upar ja raha).
- Average Gire = Performance down hai (ya stock ne momentum kho diya).
- Har Naya Data Point (match/price) Purane ko Replace Karta Hai!
Trading Platforms par MA kaise Set Karein? (Zerodha, Upstox, TradingView)
- Chart kholo (Nifty, Stock, ya Crypto ka).
- Indicators section se “Moving Average” choose karo.
- Settings mein time period aur type (SMA/EMA) select karo.
- MA Simple hai, Aur har platform par available hai .
Moving Average Kaise Kam Karta Hai ?
- Moving Average ko App Support and Resistance ke tarah bhi use kar sakte hai to Market trend Ko Follow karte huve Chalta hai
- Do ya Tin Moving Averages ko Mix Karke App Crossover Trading Strategy bhi Bana Sakte hai jo app Har Trading Types ke liye Use Kar Sakte hai .
- Moving Average ko aur dusre indicators Ke Saath Chart par laga sakte hai hai , Aur aapke ke Hisab se Trading Trading Strategy bana sakte hai .
SMA vs EMA vs WMA – Kaunsa Moving Average Best Hai?
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
- Definition: Fixed period (जैसे 10 दिन) के सभी prices का सीधा औसत।
- Weight: सभी prices को equal importance मिलती है।
- Reaction Speed: Slow (पुराने और नए डेटा को समान मानता है)।
- Use Case: Long-term trends, जैसे 200-day SMA से market का health check करना।
- Example: 5-day SMA = (₹10 + ₹12 + ₹11 + ₹13 + ₹14)/5 = ₹12.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
- Definition: Latest prices को ज्यादा weight देने वाला औसत (exponentially)।
- Weight: नए data को 50-60% तक importance, पुराने को कम।
- Reaction Speed: Fast (sudden price changes को जल्दी पकड़ता है)।
- Use Case: Short-term trading (intraday/swing), जैसे 20-day EMA।
- Example: अगर आज का price ₹14 है, तो EMA उसे SMA से ज्यादा भार देगा।
Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
- Definition: Latest prices को linear weight (1,2,3,4…) देता है।
- Weight: Day 1=1, Day 2=2,…Day 5=5 (जितना नया, उतना भारी)।
- Reaction Speed: Moderate (SMA से fast, EMA से slow)।
- Use Case: Moderate-term trends, जहाँ SMA और EMA के बीच balance चाहिए।
- Example: 5-day WMA = (₹10×1 + ₹12×2 + ₹11×3 + ₹13×4 + ₹14×5)/15 = ₹12.6।
SMA vs EMA vs WMA – Kaunsa Best Hai?
Lag: SMA > WMA > EMA (SMA ka lag sabse zyada, EMA ka sabse kam)
Responsiveness: EMA > WMA > SMA (EMA sabse fast react karta hai)
Data Usage: SMA aur WMA fixed period ka use karte hain, EMA pura historical data rakhta hai.
Popularity: EMA trading platforms pe sabse zyada use hota hai, WMA comparatively rare hai.
Best Choice:
- SMA agar long-term investment ke liye stability chahiye.
- EMA agar short-term trading aur fast trend identification chahiye.
- WMA agar balanced approach chahiye, lekin complexity aur low popularity ko dhyan me rakhna hoga.
Conclusion:
- Agar aapko long-term trend dekhna hai toh SMA best hai,
- agar jaldi trend shift pakadna hai toh EMA better hai,
- Aur agar thoda smooth but responsive moving average chahiye toh WMA ek option ho sakta hai,
- lekin EMA ki popularity aur efficiency ke karan WMA kam use hota hai.
- SMA, EMA, WMA तीनों “औसत” हैं, लेकिन हर एक market को अलग नज़रिए से देखता है।